Kalshi is the US-regulated prediction market - CFTC-licensed, legal for US residents, trade settled in USD. We build production-grade Kalshi trading bots for arbitrage, copy trading, weather markets, and LLM-driven strategies. Code is yours at delivery. Backtested before live, every time. No profit guarantees.
Same engineering bar as our Polymarket work. CFTC-regulated venue makes some things simpler (no proxy wallets, no on-chain gas) and some things stricter (KYC, position limits, fees).
Sum-to-one within Kalshi books + cross-venue Polymarket↔Kalshi on shared events. Geographic-aware execution.
See details →Mirror Kalshi traders with your own risk caps. Trade API native execution.
See details →Quant model + NOAA ensemble forecasts for Kalshi's deep weather market catalog.
See details →LLM-driven signal extraction from news + official feeds. Audit-able execution with reasoning traces.
See details →Kalshi is the only CFTC-licensed prediction market in the US. For US-based traders, prop firms, and funds, it's the legal home for event-contract trading. Volume is growing fast as institutional players enter.
CFTC-regulated as a Designated Contract Market. All 50 states. KYC required. Tax reporting clean.
USD-settled, FDIC-insured custody. No USDC, no on-chain mechanics, no Polygon gas. Simpler ops.
Kalshi Trade API is well-documented, stable, websocket-streamed. Real-time book + fills, programmatic order entry.
Politics (PRES, SENATE, GOV), macro (FED, CPI, GDP), crypto (BTCD, ETHD), weather, sports. Hundreds of active series.
Kalshi charges per-trade fees ($0.07 minimum, varies by series). We model these explicitly in every strategy - small edges die without it.
CFTC imposes per-event position caps. We surface remaining headroom in your dashboard so you don't get rejected mid-strategy.
They're not substitutes. Different regulations, different liquidity profiles, different cost structures. We build for both - sometimes in the same bot.
You're US-based, you need regulated cover, you trade primarily political or macro markets, you want USD settlement and clean tax reporting, you're a prop firm or fund.
You're in an accessible jurisdiction outside US (India, Israel, UAE, HK, etc.), you want deeper crypto-market liquidity, you're comfortable with on-chain ops, you want lower fees on liquid markets.
You're running cross-venue arbitrage, you want venue diversification, or you have a multi-jurisdiction team that needs to operate legally everywhere.
Polymarket's ToS explicitly prohibit VPN access. For US residents wanting prediction-market exposure: Kalshi is the legal answer. We don't help bypass restrictions.
Same process for Kalshi and Polymarket. Discovery → strategy → backtest → build → deploy → optimize.
We translate your idea into a technical spec - even if you can't describe a trade in code. 30-min call, ~1-page output.
Define the rules, the risk envelope, the kill-switch conditions. You approve before we write code.
Run the strategy against historical Kalshi data. Optimize. If the backtest is red, we don't deploy.
Production-grade code against Kalshi Trade API. Telemetry, error handling, ops runbook.
Paper trade 2 weeks. Live with minimum size. Scale up as confidence builds.
Optional retainer for ongoing tuning, market regime changes, new strategies.
Single-strategy bot. Discord/Telegram alerts, basic dashboard, 30-day warranty.
Multi-strategy. Grafana dashboard. Multi-account routing. Production-grade.
Multi-venue, multi-strategy desk. Compliance reporting, treasury integration.
Send us 2-3 markets you'd want to be in. We'll come back with a strategy spec and quote within 5 business days.